HarrisDemocratic68.0%1,957TrumpRepublican27.1%781OtherAll other candidates4.8%139
D+40.9- Lead
- 1,176
- Total
- 2,877
- vs nation
- D+42.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Windsor-4 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic69.2%2,044TrumpRepublican27.5%812OtherAll other candidates3.3%97
D+41.7- Lead
- 1,232
- Total
- 2,953
- vs nation
- D+37.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic60.0%1,506TrumpRepublican28.0%704OtherAll other candidates12.0%301
D+31.9- Lead
- 802
- Total
- 2,511
- vs nation
- D+29.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic66.9%1,615RomneyRepublican31.1%751OtherAll other candidates2.0%48
D+35.8- Lead
- 864
- Total
- 2,414
- vs nation
- D+31.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic67.9%1,788McCainRepublican30.2%796OtherAll other candidates1.8%48
D+37.7- Lead
- 992
- Total
- 2,632
- vs nation
- D+30.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic57.2%1,504BushRepublican40.7%1,069OtherAll other candidates2.1%55
D+16.6- Lead
- 435
- Total
- 2,628
- vs nation
- D+19.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic49.3%1,225BushRepublican43.9%1,092OtherAll other candidates6.8%169
D+5.3- Lead
- 133
- Total
- 2,486
- vs nation
- D+4.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic51.6%1,147DoleRepublican33.8%752OtherAll other candidates14.7%326
D+17.8- Lead
- 395
- Total
- 2,225
- vs nation
- D+9.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+40.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4892024 5-year
- Population density
- 29 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 153 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $86,6912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+80.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windsor-2 State House District, VT · twin score 99.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Windsor-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
69.2%
2,044 votes · D+41.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 68.0%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
88.3%
959 votes · R+80.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 87.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,044votes
69.2% of the vote · D+41.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,957 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
1,338votes
80.9% of the vote · R+61.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,325 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+42.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +37.3 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+73.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+79.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +67.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DHeather SurprenantState House · Windsor-4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+40.9 in a state already tilting left, Windsor-4's roughly 4,500 residents place it among the most one-sided state house districts in Vermont, reflecting the Upper Connecticut River Valley's strongly Democratic character.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.7 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 80.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 4,489, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,691 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windsor-2 State House District and Windsor-Addison State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Windsor-2 State House District
Vermont
99.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectorypopulation scale
Windsor-Addison State House District
Vermont
99.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectorypopulation scale
Windham-Windsor-Bennington State House District
Vermont
98.5twin score
2008–2020 trajectorypopulation scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Windsor-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50Y-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Windsor-4 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Windsor-4 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Windsor-4 State House District voted Democratic by 40.9 points (D+40.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,877 votes cast, 1,957 went Democratic and 781 went Republican.
When did Vermont Windsor-4 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Windsor-4 State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Vermont Windsor-4 State House District?
Vermont Windsor-4 State House District has a population of 4,489 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Windsor-4 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Windsor-4 State House District is $86,691 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Windsor-4 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Windsor-4 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.