Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Orange-3 State House District
presidential margin
2008D+31.32012D+31.92016D+17.32020D+24.02024D+20.0
full record · 18922024
D+20.0
2024
median income$82,390U.S. $80,734 · VT $81,203
median age43.3U.S. 39.1 · VT 43.4
poverty rate10.4%U.S. 12.5% · VT 10.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)38.4%U.S. 35.6% · VT 44.1%
non-english2.6%U.S. 22.3% · VT 5.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English24.0%
Irish13.1%
German8.9%
Mexican0.5%
Puerto Rican0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Orange County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Orange-3 State House District

Akashic
Orange-3 State House DistrictHarrisD+20.0
2024
2024 presidential margin for Orange-3 State House DistrictThe boundary of Orange-3 State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+20.0), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Orange-3 State House District · D+20.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic57.8%1,127
Donald TrumpRepublican37.8%737
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other4.4%85
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Orange-3 State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Orange County, VTDemocraticD+20.0
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). † 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
57.8%Harris1,127
37.8%Trump737
4.4%Kennedy85
+20.0%
1,949
D
60.2%Biden1,136
36.1%Trump682
3.7%Jorgensen70
+24.0%
1,888
D
51.5%Clinton832
34.2%Trump552
14.3%Johnson231
+17.3%
1,615
D
64.6%Obama1,001
32.6%Romney506
2.8%Johnson43
+31.9%
1,550
D
64.6%Obama1,081
33.3%McCain557
2.2%Nader36
+31.3%
1,674
D
54.8%Kerry900
43.1%Bush708
2.1%Nader34
+11.7%
1,642
R
45.6%Gore738
46.7%Bush756
7.8%Nader126
−1.1%
1,620
D
49.7%Clinton673
33.0%Dole446
17.3%Perot234
+16.8%
1,353
D
43.1%Clinton637
31.7%Bush469
25.2%Perot373
+11.4%
1,479
R
44.0%Dukakis549
54.3%Bush678
1.7%Scattering21
−10.3%
1,248
R
38.4%Mondale451
60.3%Reagan707
1.3%Bergland15
−21.8%
1,173
R
32.8%Carter340
49.5%Reagan513
17.7%Anderson184
−16.7%
1,037
R
39.0%Carter350
58.6%Ford526
2.3%McCarthy21
−19.6%
897
R
29.9%McGovern257
69.1%Nixon594
1.0%Schmitz9
−39.2%
860
R
30.0%Humphrey207
66.2%Nixon456
3.8%Wallace26
−36.1%
689
D
59.0%Johnson432
41.0%Goldwater300
0.0%
+18.0%
732
R
22.7%Kennedy174
77.2%Nixon591
0.1%Byrd1
−54.4%
766
R
16.0%Stevenson118
83.9%Eisenhower619
0.1%Andrews1
−67.9%
738
R
16.1%Stevenson119
83.5%Eisenhower619
0.4%Hallinan3
−67.5%
741
R
21.6%Truman126
77.0%Dewey448
1.4%Thurmond8
−55.3%
582
R
26.2%Roosevelt161
73.8%Dewey454
0.0%
−47.6%
615
R
30.9%Roosevelt224
68.8%Willkie499
0.3%Thomas2
−37.9%
725
R
26.5%Roosevelt198
73.3%Landon547
0.1%Lemke1
−46.8%
746
R
29.5%Roosevelt202
69.3%Hoover475
1.2%Thomas8
−39.9%
685
R
14.9%Smith101
84.7%Hoover576
0.4%Thomas3
−69.9%
680
R
12.9%Davis80
82.9%Coolidge514
4.2%La Follette26
−70.0%
620
R
19.8%Cox103
78.8%Harding409
1.3%Debs7
−59.0%
519
R
38.0%Wilson152
59.3%Hughes237
2.8%Benson11
−21.3%
400
O
25.2%Wilson105
34.1%Taft142
40.6%Roosevelt169
Roosevelt +6.3
416
R
22.1%Bryan74
74.3%Taft249
3.6%Debs12
−52.2%
335
R
20.1%Parker65
77.1%Roosevelt249
2.8%Debs9
−57.0%
323
R
22.3%Bryan82
75.3%McKinley277
2.4%Woolley9
−53.0%
368
R
14.9%Bryan63
80.1%McKinley338
5.0%Palmer21
−65.2%
422
R
30.1%Cleveland120
66.2%Harrison264
3.8%Weaver15
−36.1%
399
No data
No data
No data
No data
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +20.0% in 2024.flipped D · 2004+20.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−36.1%
1896−65.2%
1900−53.0%
1904−57.0%
1908−52.2%
1912−8.9%
1916−21.3%
1920−59.0%
1924−70.0%
1928−69.9%
1932−39.9%
1936−46.8%
1940−37.9%
1944−47.6%
1948−55.3%
1952−67.5%
1956−67.9%
1960−54.4%
1964+18.0%
1968−36.1%
1972−39.2%
1976−19.6%
1980−16.7%
1984−21.8%
1988−10.3%
1992+11.4%
1996+16.8%
2000−1.1%
2004+11.7%
2008+31.3%
2012+31.9%
2016+17.3%
2020+24.0%
2024+20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RJosh DobrovichState House · Orange-3

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

With just over 4,200 residents spread across central Vermont's hill towns, Orange-3 sits at the margin between the state's traditionally Democratic leanings and the rural Republican drift that produced a 3.3-point Republican edge in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.9 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 70.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.

A population of 4,201, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,390 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orange-1 State House District and Orange-2 State House District.

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orange-3 State House District, Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50OR3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →

Places within Orange-3 State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Orange-3 State House District, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orange-3 State House District, Vermont voted Democratic by 20.0 points (D+20.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,949 votes cast, 1,127 went Democratic and 737 went Republican.
When did Orange-3 State House District, Vermont last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Orange-3 State House District, Vermont voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Orange-3 State House District, Vermont?
Orange-3 State House District, Vermont has a population of 4,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orange-3 State House District, Vermont?
Median household income in Orange-3 State House District, Vermont is $82,390 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Orange-3 State House District, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orange-3 State House District, Vermont from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.