HarrisDemocratic45.8%1,079TrumpRepublican49.2%1,157OtherAll other candidates5.0%118
R+3.3- Lead
- 78
- Total
- 2,354
- vs nation
- R+1.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Orange-3 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic49.2%1,129TrumpRepublican46.3%1,062OtherAll other candidates4.5%104
D+2.9- Lead
- 67
- Total
- 2,295
- vs nation
- R+1.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic42.6%834TrumpRepublican42.2%827OtherAll other candidates15.2%298
D+0.4- Lead
- 7
- Total
- 1,959
- vs nation
- R+1.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic55.8%1,035RomneyRepublican42.1%782OtherAll other candidates2.1%39
D+13.6- Lead
- 253
- Total
- 1,856
- vs nation
- D+9.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic55.8%1,128McCainRepublican42.3%855OtherAll other candidates1.9%39
D+13.5- Lead
- 273
- Total
- 2,022
- vs nation
- D+6.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic46.3%968BushRepublican53.3%1,116OtherAll other candidates0.4%8
R+7.1- Lead
- 148
- Total
- 2,092
- vs nation
- R+4.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic39.2%787BushRepublican59.3%1,191OtherAll other candidates1.6%32
R+20.1- Lead
- 404
- Total
- 2,010
- vs nation
- R+20.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.1%726DoleRepublican47.1%697OtherAll other candidates3.8%56
D+2.0- Lead
- 29
- Total
- 1,479
- vs nation
- R+6.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,2012024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 76.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,3902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.6 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+80.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orange-2 State House District, VT · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orange-3 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
55.8%
1,128 votes · D+13.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 55.8%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
89.7%
812 votes · R+80.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 88.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,129votes
49.2% of the vote · D+2.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 1,128 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2000
1,191votes
59.3% of the vote · R+20.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,157 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+9.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +6.2 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+85.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +74.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJosh DobrovichState House · Orange-3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With just over 4,200 residents spread across central Vermont's hill towns, Orange-3 sits at the margin between the state's traditionally Democratic leanings and the rural Republican drift that produced a 3.3-point Republican edge in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.6 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 80.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.
A population of 4,201, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,390 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orange-2 State House District and Orange-1 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orange-2 State House District
Vermont
98.9twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory
Orange-1 State House District
Vermont
97.1twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory≠ median age
Windsor-Orange-1 State House District
Vermont
97.0twin score
population scale% unaffiliated2008–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orange-3 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50OR3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orange-3 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orange-3 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orange-3 State House District voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,354 votes cast, 1,079 went Democratic and 1,157 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orange-3 State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orange-3 State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Vermont Orange-3 State House District?
Vermont Orange-3 State House District has a population of 4,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orange-3 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orange-3 State House District is $82,390 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orange-3 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orange-3 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.