- Lead
- 5,106
- Total
- 28,008
- vs nation
- R+16.8
Tennessee 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,995
- Total
- 26,270
- vs nation
- R+15.9
- Lead
- 5,031
- Total
- 20,358
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 4,392
- Total
- 18,730
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Lead
- 3,438
- Total
- 19,318
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Lead
- 3,688
- Total
- 16,014
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Lead
- 1,003
- Total
- 11,837
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 198
- Total
- 9,860
- vs nation
- R+10.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 67,0002024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,180 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 56.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,2522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 13, TN · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
88.0%
809 votes · D+76.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 86.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
62.6%
2,119 votes · R+28.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 61.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,363votes
43.3% of the vote · R+11.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,244 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,350votes
58.4% of the vote · R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,358 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+79.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+53.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · +63.0 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+27.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +26.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 38.8%9,572 | 61.2%15,110 | 24,682 |
| 2020 | R | 44.0%11,164 | 56.0%14,220 | 25,384 |
Tennessee 49th State House District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.2 points.
A population of 67,000, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,252 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 13 and State House District 48.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.