- Lead
- 12,627
- Total
- 26,017
- vs nation
- D+50.0
Tennessee 28th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 15,881
- Total
- 28,259
- vs nation
- D+51.7
- Lead
- 13,393
- Total
- 23,604
- vs nation
- D+54.7
- Lead
- 14,526
- Total
- 24,189
- vs nation
- D+56.2
- Lead
- 16,214
- Total
- 25,754
- vs nation
- D+55.7
- Lead
- 14,052
- Total
- 23,265
- vs nation
- D+62.9
- Lead
- 12,753
- Total
- 20,946
- vs nation
- D+60.4
- Lead
- 12,329
- Total
- 19,857
- vs nation
- D+53.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+48.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 73,2512024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,613 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 45.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,0492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 30.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 54.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 87, TN · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 28th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
94.8%
5,414 votes · D+89.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 92.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
31.9%
3,457 votes · D+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 24.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
21,786votes
77.1% of the vote · D+56.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 20,877 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,467votes
24.9% of the vote · D+48.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,905 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+99.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+72.8 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +95.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1968
−45.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+45.1 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · −48.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+48.5, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, likely anchored by dense urban precincts and a heavily minority or college-educated electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.7 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.5 points.
A population of 73,251, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,049 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 87 and State House District 93.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 28th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.