- Lead
- 18,096
- Total
- 34,934
- vs nation
- R+50.3
Pennsylvania 86th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,727
- Total
- 33,827
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Lead
- 15,662
- Total
- 29,410
- vs nation
- R+55.3
- Lead
- 10,468
- Total
- 26,589
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Lead
- 8,942
- Total
- 27,498
- vs nation
- R+39.8
- Lead
- 11,532
- Total
- 27,133
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Lead
- 8,863
- Total
- 22,792
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Lead
- 4,227
- Total
- 20,800
- vs nation
- R+28.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 63,9562024 5-year
- Population density
- 72 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 883 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,9042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 81, PA · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.1%
9,494 votes · D+10.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 53.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
78.7%
9,761 votes · R+58.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
9,494votes
55.1% of the vote · D+10.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 8,969 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,345votes
75.4% of the vote · R+51.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,518 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+6.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+19.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +5.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +55.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+51.8, this rural Pennsylvania district ranks among the state's most politically homogeneous, leaving general-election competition effectively absent at the legislative level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.8 points.
A population of 63,956, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,904 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 81 and State House District 90.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.