North Dakota 15th State House District, North Dakota: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+42%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 16,3282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,2372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 15, NDOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,166 | 5,491 | 7,829 | ||
| R | 2,307 | 5,522 | 8,046 | ||
| R | 2,163 | 4,959 | 7,952 | ||
| R | 3,288 | 4,177 | 7,719 | ||
| R | 3,626 | 3,737 | 7,544 | ||
| R | 3,151 | 4,831 | 8,111 | ||
| R | 2,527 | 4,826 | 7,931 | ||
| R | 3,472 | 3,504 | 8,010 | ||
| R | 3,400 | 4,255 | 10,139 | ||
| R | 4,628 | 5,613 | 10,352 | ||
| R | 3,919 | 7,377 | 11,453 | ||
| R | 2,999 | 7,379 | 11,370 | ||
| D | 5,937 | 5,812 | 11,944 | ||
| R | 4,722 | 7,466 | 12,326 | ||
| R | 4,591 | 5,754 | 10,935 | ||
| D | 7,298 | 4,253 | 11,561 | ||
| R | 5,832 | 6,822 | 12,656 | ||
| R | 4,643 | 7,039 | 11,699 | ||
| R | 3,754 | 9,257 | 13,092 | ||
| R | 5,200 | 5,426 | 10,960 | ||
| D | 5,423 | 5,104 | 10,587 | ||
| R | 7,184 | 7,383 | 14,629 | ||
| D | 8,941 | 3,742 | 14,545 | ||
| D | 9,343 | 3,780 | 13,275 | ||
| R | 5,871 | 7,126 | 13,049 | ||
| R | 985 | 6,096 | 10,768 | ||
| R | 2,146 | 9,129 | 11,513 | ||
| D | 2,958 | 2,957 | 6,163 | ||
| D | 2,146 | 1,510 | 5,372 | ||
| R | 2,617 | 3,489 | 6,327 | ||
| R | 1,398 | 3,789 | 5,376 | ||
| R | 1,857 | 2,970 | 4,975 | ||
| D | 1,926 | 1,717 | 3,688 | ||
| O | 0 | 1,006 | 2,331 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
35.0%
Irish
8.0%
English
4.5%
French
2.4%
American
2.4%
Scottish
2.2%
Italian
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,237
State House District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15$63,237
North Dakota$76,657
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.0%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)12.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.5%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.7%
Other languages1.2%
Spanish1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+42.8 in a state that already leans heavily Republican, District 15 ranks among the least competitive seats in the legislature, leaving candidate recruitment and primaries as the primary electoral dynamics.
The Democratic margin in North Dakota 15th State House District peaked at forty-two points in 1932. By 1980 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $63,237 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/38015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 15, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, North Dakota voted Republican by 42.5 points (R+42), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,829 votes cast, 2,166 went Democratic and 5,491 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, North Dakota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, North Dakota as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 15, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in State House District 15, North Dakota?
State House District 15, North Dakota has a population of 16,328 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, North Dakota?
Median household income in State House District 15, North Dakota is $63,237 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of State House District 15, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.