- Lead
- 8,019
- Total
- 56,178
- vs nation
- D+15.7
New York 123rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,020
- Total
- 58,064
- vs nation
- D+12.8
- Lead
- 5,559
- Total
- 54,962
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Lead
- 9,505
- Total
- 52,730
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Lead
- 11,891
- Total
- 57,497
- vs nation
- D+13.4
- Lead
- 9,226
- Total
- 59,154
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Lead
- 12,252
- Total
- 56,363
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Lead
- 14,727
- Total
- 56,769
- vs nation
- D+17.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 133,4202024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,367 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 97.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,2662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 138, NY · twin score 83.5
presidential history
Party record book
New York 123rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.6%
42,747 votes · D+41.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
69.1%
37,208 votes · R+38.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 65.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
42,747votes
70.6% of the vote · D+41.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 34,825 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
37,208votes
69.1% of the vote · R+38.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 35,966 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+21.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.6 · U.S. R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +21.2 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+23.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+1.2 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +22.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 51.0%27,667 | 49.0%26,592 | 54,259 |
| 2020 | D | 57.9%34,560 | 42.1%25,121 | 59,681 |
New York 123rd State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 38.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.3 points.
A population of 133,420, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,266 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 138 and Assembly District 129.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 123rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.