- Lead
- 13,043
- Total
- 28,276
- vs nation
- D+47.6
New York 77th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 25,930
- Total
- 35,367
- vs nation
- D+68.9
- Lead
- 31,333
- Total
- 34,707
- vs nation
- D+88.2
- Lead
- 30,291
- Total
- 32,728
- vs nation
- D+88.7
- Lead
- 29,727
- Total
- 33,058
- vs nation
- D+82.7
- Lead
- 24,125
- Total
- 28,669
- vs nation
- D+86.6
- Lead
- 23,227
- Total
- 26,392
- vs nation
- D+87.5
- Lead
- 21,849
- Total
- 24,845
- vs nation
- D+79.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+46.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 133,8072024 5-year
- Population density
- 78,710 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $38,7632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 61.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92.6 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 84, NY · twin score 99.4
presidential history
Party record book
New York 77th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2020 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
96.1%
31,443 votes · D+92.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 94.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
38.8%
4,062 votes · D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 25.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
37,362votes
87.6% of the vote · D+75.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 36,135 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
9,898votes
23.7% of the vote · D+52.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 9,295 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+88.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +88.2 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
−27.9pts R vs U.S.
Place D+1.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · −29.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 77.9%23,564 | 22.1%6,700 | 30,264 |
Assembly District 77 sits outside New York's densest urban cores, where presidential margins have tightened or flipped in recent cycles. Its 133,807 residents reflect a demographic mix that makes it a closely watched indicator of statewide suburban and exurban drift.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 92.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 27.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.1 points.
A population of 133,807, a 2% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,763 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 84 and Assembly District 79.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 77th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.