- Lead
- 3,575
- Total
- 32,665
- vs nation
- D+12.4
New York 30th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,719
- Total
- 36,752
- vs nation
- D+35.6
- Lead
- 15,941
- Total
- 31,275
- vs nation
- D+48.9
- Lead
- 15,349
- Total
- 27,042
- vs nation
- D+52.9
- Lead
- 13,993
- Total
- 29,253
- vs nation
- D+40.6
- Lead
- 11,388
- Total
- 27,693
- vs nation
- D+43.6
- Lead
- 12,766
- Total
- 25,325
- vs nation
- D+49.9
- Lead
- 11,511
- Total
- 23,392
- vs nation
- D+40.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 131,1342024 5-year
- Population density
- 43,711 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,9042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 15.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 28.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 24, NY · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
New York 30th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
77.8%
21,043 votes · D+56.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 74.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
69.7%
4,531 votes · R+45.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 61.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
25,558votes
69.5% of the vote · D+40.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 24,196 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
22,692votes
61.6% of the vote · R+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 21,717 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+52.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +49.9 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+30.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.4 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +23.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.4%24,352 | 32.6%11,800 | 36,152 |
Assembly District 30, covering part of Queens, posted a D+10.9 presidential margin in 2024 — close enough to attract serious attention in cycles when statewide winds shift. Its dense, immigrant-heavy neighborhoods make turnout composition a key variable.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.8 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 45.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 29.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.9 points.
A population of 131,134, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,904 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 24 and Assembly District 25.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 30th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.