- Lead
- 6,391
- Total
- 48,511
- vs nation
- R+11.7
New York 23rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,864
- Total
- 50,968
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Lead
- 4,450
- Total
- 43,571
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Lead
- 6,310
- Total
- 36,711
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 2,066
- Total
- 41,734
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Lead
- 1,434
- Total
- 41,146
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Lead
- 3,419
- Total
- 35,338
- vs nation
- D+9.2
- Lead
- 3,255
- Total
- 32,353
- vs nation
- D+1.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 137,5852024 5-year
- Population density
- 11,562 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 11.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,2222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 19, NJ · twin score 90.6
presidential history
Party record book
New York 23rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
58.0%
21,297 votes · D+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 53.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
85.4%
11,941 votes · R+74.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 81.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
26,684votes
52.4% of the vote · D+5.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 24,454 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
59,724votes
80.7% of the vote · R+61.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 57,188 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+13.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +9.2 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+66.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.9 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +63.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.4%25,550 | 32.6%12,380 | 37,930 |
New York's 23rd Assembly District, with roughly 138,000 residents, backed the 2024 Republican presidential ticket by 6.4 points — a result that makes it a closely watched bellwether in an otherwise Democratic-dominant state legislature.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.2 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 74.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 18.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.2 points.
A population of 137,585, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,222 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 19 and Assembly District 36.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 23rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.