- Lead
- 2,038
- Total
- 10,913
- vs nation
- D+20.1
New Mexico 21st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,396
- Total
- 11,792
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Lead
- 1,223
- Total
- 9,997
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Lead
- 1,018
- Total
- 9,798
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Lead
- 1,544
- Total
- 10,232
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Lead
- 183
- Total
- 9,263
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Lead
- 271
- Total
- 7,445
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Lead
- 20
- Total
- 6,673
- vs nation
- R+8.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,0642024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,096 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,7842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 45.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 15, NM · twin score 91.5
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 21st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
63.2%
525 votes · D+27.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 58.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
67.9%
1,633 votes · R+35.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 63.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,936votes
58.8% of the vote · D+20.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 6,337 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
4,637votes
50.1% of the vote · R+2.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,540 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+20.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +15.9 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+28.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+25.4 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +20.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
New Mexico 21st State House District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 35.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.7 points.
A population of 30,064, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,784 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 15 and State House District 17.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 21st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.