- Lead
- 3,620
- Total
- 8,404
- vs nation
- D+44.5
New Mexico 19th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,332
- Total
- 9,068
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Lead
- 3,410
- Total
- 8,162
- vs nation
- D+39.7
- Lead
- 3,435
- Total
- 7,957
- vs nation
- D+39.3
- Lead
- 4,132
- Total
- 8,518
- vs nation
- D+41.2
- Lead
- 2,478
- Total
- 7,262
- vs nation
- D+36.6
- Lead
- 1,800
- Total
- 5,789
- vs nation
- D+30.6
- Lead
- 1,651
- Total
- 5,347
- vs nation
- D+22.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+43.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,6812024 5-year
- Population density
- 6,818 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $37,4072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 52.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 11, NM · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 19th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
83.9%
570 votes · D+68.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 82.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
48.4%
788 votes · D+3.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 46.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,568votes
72.4% of the vote · D+47.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,275 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
2,356votes
32.4% of the vote · D+34.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,261 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+75.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.8 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +60.9 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1968
−15.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+14.5 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · −17.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin under one point, this district of roughly 31,000 residents sits at the competitive edge of the state's legislative map, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide shifts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.0 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.1 points.
A population of 30,681, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,407 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 14.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 19th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.