akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 27·New Jersey

New Jersey 27th State House District was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A suburban swing district where presidential margins have tightened to single digits

18762024·38 elections
NJ
Latest
D+40
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
339,277
2024 ACS

New Jersey 27th State House District, New Jersey: Populist district. In 2024, voted D+40%. Democratic peak: D+54 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+40MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
339,2772024 5-year
Median household income
$81,3852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
31.0%2024 5-year
Black
33.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
26.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+54 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+40.4%
85,96835,884123,982
D
+52.0%
103,05432,347135,929
D
+53.6%
93,03226,839123,428
D
+54.2%
91,62226,927119,463
D
+49.9%
92,64030,720124,102
D
+39.0%
78,46134,210113,559
D
+43.3%
71,68127,470102,040
D
+41.4%
67,79226,43999,904
D
+22.7%
60,70236,045108,713
D
+13.6%
59,75645,027108,327
D
+9.1%
66,11154,896122,797
D
+7.9%
55,60546,762112,065
D
+11.4%
66,89952,890122,750
R
−4.4%
61,38267,185131,520
D
+11.6%
70,74354,801137,914
D
+39.7%
105,84345,267152,433
D
+12.2%
83,31864,807151,393
R
−22.8%
55,99689,929148,736
R
−9.7%
68,75983,922155,538
R
−3.1%
59,17863,270130,634
R
−1.2%
66,42968,051137,178
R
−7.4%
59,34369,040131,117
D
+11.0%
66,77453,351121,514
R
−5.2%
50,68656,457110,503
R
−17.1%
45,10063,836109,489
R
−44.0%
15,61746,79770,905
R
−46.2%
15,36644,08962,128
R
−21.1%
13,16620,49234,721
O
+11.9%
10,0306,39830,643
R
−26.5%
11,50820,25532,994
R
−30.7%
9,78519,12030,402
R
−25.7%
9,96517,14027,964
R
−33.1%
7,88416,15124,993
D
+1.6%
11,44711,07222,951
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
7.9%
Irish
5.5%
German
3.6%
American
3.0%
English
2.3%
Polish
2.3%
Scottish
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.0%
speak English only
Spanish21.9%
Other Indo-European10.7%
Other languages3.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
30.0%
Non-Christian
8.4%
Other Christian
5.7%
Baptist
4.9%
Methodist
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 27 sits in New Jersey's competitive suburban belt, where a 2024 presidential margin of R+2.7 signals a battleground constituency that neither party can take for granted heading into state legislative cycles.

The Democratic margin in New Jersey 27th State House District peaked at fifty-four points in 2012. By 1976 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $81,385 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 27, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 27, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 27, New Jersey voted Democratic by 40.4 points (D+40), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 123,982 votes cast, 85,968 went Democratic and 35,884 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 27, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 27, New Jersey as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did Assembly District 27, New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 27, New Jersey voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Assembly District 27, New Jersey?
Assembly District 27, New Jersey has a population of 339,277 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 27, New Jersey?
Median household income in Assembly District 27, New Jersey is $81,385 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Assembly District 27, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 27, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.