HarrisDemocratic61.4%1,679TrumpRepublican37.2%1,017OtherAll other candidates1.5%40
D+24.2- Lead
- 662
- Total
- 2,736
- vs nation
- D+25.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic64.3%1,777TrumpRepublican33.6%930OtherAll other candidates2.1%58
D+30.6- Lead
- 847
- Total
- 2,765
- vs nation
- D+26.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic55.7%1,445TrumpRepublican35.9%931OtherAll other candidates8.4%218
D+19.8- Lead
- 514
- Total
- 2,594
- vs nation
- D+17.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.8%1,538RomneyRepublican35.7%888OtherAll other candidates2.5%63
D+26.1- Lead
- 650
- Total
- 2,489
- vs nation
- D+22.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic64.5%1,620McCainRepublican34.2%859OtherAll other candidates1.4%34
D+30.3- Lead
- 761
- Total
- 2,513
- vs nation
- D+23.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic57.6%1,368BushRepublican41.5%984OtherAll other candidates0.9%21
D+16.2- Lead
- 384
- Total
- 2,373
- vs nation
- D+18.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic49.8%948BushRepublican45.8%871OtherAll other candidates4.4%84
D+4.0- Lead
- 77
- Total
- 1,903
- vs nation
- D+3.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic52.9%905DoleRepublican38.5%659OtherAll other candidates8.6%147
D+14.4- Lead
- 246
- Total
- 1,711
- vs nation
- D+5.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+24.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4652024 5-year
- Population density
- 111 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 40.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $95,4742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Grafton 03, NH · twin score 94.7
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
64.5%
1,620 votes · D+30.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 64.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
72.2%
752 votes · R+44.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,777votes
64.3% of the vote · D+30.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,679 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,017votes
37.2% of the vote · D+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 984 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+26.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +25.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+34.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +33.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DDavid FrachtState House · Grafton 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.5%1,589 | 39.5%1,039 | 2,628 |
Anchored by Dartmouth College's home of Hanover, this small Upper Valley district delivered a 24.2-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the outsized influence of a highly educated, institutionally affiliated electorate in a low-population seat.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 44.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.2 points.
A population of 4,465, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,474 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 03 and State House District Grafton 04.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District Grafton 03
New Hampshire
94.7twin score
population scale% unaffiliatedelasticity≠ median age
State House District Grafton 04
New Hampshire
94.5twin score
population scale% unaffiliated% White≠ median age
Windsor-5 State House District
Vermont
94.1twin score
median agepopulation scale2008–2020 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33416/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 voted Democratic by 24.2 points (D+24.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,736 votes cast, 1,679 went Democratic and 1,017 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16?
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 has a population of 4,465 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 is $95,474 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 16 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.