State House District Grafton 15 State House District (NH) — Elections 1876–2024

New Hampshire 415th State House District, New Hampshire: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+20%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+20MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 6532024 5-year
Median household income: $88,2612024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 88.3%2024 5-year
Black: 1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+28 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+48 in 1956MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

1 counties · 1 D · 0 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+19.9%	234	155	396
2020	D	+24.5%	235	141	384
2016	D	+18.5%	202	135	363
2012	D	+23.6%	211	129	347
2008	D	+27.9%	223	125	351
2004	D	+12.3%	185	144	333
2000	D	+0.7%	130	128	274
1996	D	+16.1%	138	96	261
1992	D	+5.4%	109	95	257
1988	R	−24.8%	81	135	218
1984	R	−35.8%	62	131	193
1980	R	−29.2%	52	108	192
1976	R	−22.5%	64	102	169
1972	R	−33.0%	59	118	179
1968	R	−23.5%	55	91	153
1964	D	+19.5%	89	60	149
1960	R	−29.7%	55	102	158
1956	R	−48.3%	39	111	149
1952	R	−44.9%	43	113	156
1948	R	−28.5%	48	87	137
1944	R	−11.4%	62	78	140
1940	R	−8.0%	69	81	150
1936	R	−14.1%	60	80	142
1932	R	−13.1%	59	77	137
1928	R	−34.6%	43	89	133
1924	R	−31.0%	38	74	116
1920	R	−22.3%	43	68	112
1916	R	−1.5%	33	34	67
1912	D	+2.9%	27	25	68
1908	R	−27.8%	25	45	72
1904	R	−26.1%	25	43	69
1900	R	−25.4%	26	44	71
1896	R	−43.8%	16	44	64
1892	O	+0.0%	34	34	69
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

21.1%

Irish

17.1%

German

9.8%

French

9.1%

Italian

7.4%

Scottish

5.5%

American

5.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 44.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.0%

85+

1.7%

3.2%

75–84

3.5%

6.8%

65–74

6.8%

7.3%

55–64

7.8%

5.3%

45–54

5.7%

35–44

5.5%

6.0%

25–34

6.0%

6.4%

18–24

5.9%

6.1%

5–17

5.8%

1.9%

1.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$88,261

State House District Grafton 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State House District Grafton 15$88,261

New Hampshire$99,031

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.4%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1810.8%

Working age (18–64)10.3%

Seniors (65+)10.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

93.8%

speak English only

Other Indo-European2.7%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%

Spanish1.0%

Other languages0.4%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

13.5%

Other Christian

4.2%

Mainline Protestant

3.9%

Methodist

2.1%

Baptist

1.4%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.3%

Non-Christian

0.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 73.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in Hanover, home to Dartmouth College, Grafton 15 returned a 50-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — a figure driven by a dense concentration of students and faculty in a small, walkable college town.

The Democratic margin in New Hampshire 415th State House District reached its widest at twenty-eight points in 2008. The margin in 2024 was twenty points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $88,261, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 653 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33415/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire vote in 2024?

In 2024, State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 19.9 points (D+20), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 396 votes cast, 234 went Democratic and 155 went Republican.

What is State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.

When did State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire?

State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire has a population of 653 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire?

Median household income in State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire is $88,261 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District Grafton 15, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New Hampshire 415th State House District has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions