- Lead
- 1,353
- Total
- 2,718
- vs nation
- D+51.3
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 14
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,268
- Total
- 2,573
- vs nation
- D+44.8
- Lead
- 976
- Total
- 2,412
- vs nation
- D+38.4
- Lead
- 964
- Total
- 2,255
- vs nation
- D+38.9
- Lead
- 1,074
- Total
- 2,323
- vs nation
- D+39.0
- Lead
- 589
- Total
- 2,050
- vs nation
- D+31.2
- Lead
- 283
- Total
- 1,619
- vs nation
- D+17.0
- Lead
- 394
- Total
- 1,471
- vs nation
- D+18.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+49.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,7342024 5-year
- Population density
- 287 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 16.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,7862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Grafton 15, NH · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 14 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
74.1%
2,013 votes · D+49.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 73.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
66.5%
554 votes · R+33.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 64.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,013votes
74.1% of the vote · D+49.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,901 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
722votes
35.2% of the vote · D+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 673 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+51.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+49.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +44.8 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+21.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +20.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.5%1,685 | 39.5%1,101 | 2,786 |
Grafton 14 recorded a D+49.8 presidential margin in 2024, making it an extreme outlier in a state that decided statewide races by single digits. Its small population of roughly 4,700 points to a compact, heavily college-influenced or village core electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 33.0 points in 1956. The 2024 margin was 49.8 points.
A population of 4,734, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,786 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 15 and State House District Grafton 13.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 14. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33414/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.