- Lead
- 5,774
- Total
- 22,802
- vs nation
- R+23.9
Missouri 102nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,500
- Total
- 23,272
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Lead
- 7,059
- Total
- 20,802
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Lead
- 5,572
- Total
- 19,050
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Lead
- 3,552
- Total
- 19,127
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Lead
- 4,376
- Total
- 16,676
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Lead
- 2,976
- Total
- 13,108
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Lead
- 1,428
- Total
- 10,253
- vs nation
- R+22.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,8672024 5-year
- Population density
- 188 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 196 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $115,1322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 108, MO · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 102nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
60.1%
626 votes · D+21.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 57.1%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
76.6%
5,231 votes · R+53.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 75.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
8,359votes
36.7% of the vote · R+25.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 8,211 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
14,711votes
63.2% of the vote · R+27.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 14,133 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+4.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+13.0 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +4.0 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+41.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.4 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +38.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 41.2%6,183 | 58.8%8,817 | 15,000 |
Its Republican presidential margin was R+25.3 in 2024 and R+18.6 in 2008. About 141,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 84% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 53.2 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 36,867, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $115,132 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 108 and State House District 69.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 102nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.