- Lead
- 3,497
- Total
- 22,511
- vs nation
- R+14.1
Missouri 88th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,990
- Total
- 22,422
- vs nation
- R+22.3
- Lead
- 5,523
- Total
- 20,535
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Lead
- 6,633
- Total
- 21,151
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Lead
- 5,574
- Total
- 21,753
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Lead
- 7,915
- Total
- 22,179
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Lead
- 7,700
- Total
- 20,192
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Lead
- 6,570
- Total
- 18,993
- vs nation
- R+43.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,8572024 5-year
- Population density
- 829 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 46.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $114,3562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.3 in 1884MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 69, MO · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 88th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
41.4%
9,318 votes · R+15.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 40.2%
Republican
James G. Blaine1884
78.8%
246 votes · R+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 76.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
9,318votes
41.4% of the vote · R+15.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 9,015 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
18,829votes
44.3% of the vote · R+34.6 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 16,161 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
−9.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+34.3 · U.S. R+25.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · −9.8 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+49.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.0 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +43.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.7%12,051 | 41.3%8,494 | 20,545 |
Missouri 88th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 58.3 points in 1884. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.5 points.
A population of 38,857, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $114,356 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 69 and State House District 108.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 88th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29088/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.