- Lead
- 3,338
- Total
- 22,357
- vs nation
- R+13.5
Missouri 95th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,731
- Total
- 23,052
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Lead
- 5,814
- Total
- 22,373
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Lead
- 7,026
- Total
- 23,156
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 5,862
- Total
- 23,823
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Lead
- 8,402
- Total
- 24,274
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Lead
- 8,253
- Total
- 22,073
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Lead
- 6,998
- Total
- 20,651
- vs nation
- R+42.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,6892024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,798 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $110,1852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.4 in 1884MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 88, MO · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 95th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
41.8%
9,356 votes · R+14.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 41.2%
Republican
James G. Blaine1884
77.8%
266 votes · R+56.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 75.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,497votes
41.2% of the vote · R+16.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,356 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
20,451votes
45.9% of the vote · R+35.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 17,558 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
−9.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+34.5 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · −10.4 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+47.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.5 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +42.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.7%11,379 | 41.3%8,020 | 19,399 |
Missouri 95th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 56.4 points in 1884. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.9 points.
A population of 36,689, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $110,185 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 88 and State House District 104.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 95th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.