- Lead
- 10,442
- Total
- 17,120
- vs nation
- R+59.5
Missouri 58th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,013
- Total
- 16,756
- vs nation
- R+64.2
- Lead
- 9,157
- Total
- 15,746
- vs nation
- R+60.2
- Lead
- 6,099
- Total
- 15,222
- vs nation
- R+43.9
- Lead
- 4,302
- Total
- 15,915
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Lead
- 5,479
- Total
- 15,549
- vs nation
- R+32.8
- Lead
- 2,844
- Total
- 14,025
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Lead
- 535
- Total
- 12,678
- vs nation
- R+12.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,6742024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,033 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,5242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5, MO · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 58th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
59.8%
6,587 votes · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 58.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.0%
13,690 votes · R+61.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
6,587votes
59.8% of the vote · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 5,845 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,690votes
80.0% of the vote · R+61.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,270 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+17.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +14.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+64.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +60.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 21.1%2,795 | 78.9%10,474 | 13,269 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+61, this rural Missouri district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep partisan consolidation that has reshaped small-town and agricultural communities over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.0 points.
A population of 36,674, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,524 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 142.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 58th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.