- Lead
- 6,980
- Total
- 15,269
- vs nation
- R+44.2
Missouri 52nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,856
- Total
- 15,487
- vs nation
- R+48.7
- Lead
- 6,600
- Total
- 14,996
- vs nation
- R+46.1
- Lead
- 3,626
- Total
- 14,166
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Lead
- 2,963
- Total
- 15,041
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Lead
- 4,345
- Total
- 14,457
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Lead
- 2,592
- Total
- 12,999
- vs nation
- R+20.5
- Lead
- 694
- Total
- 12,770
- vs nation
- R+14.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,6972024 5-year
- Population density
- 77 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 478 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,7932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 6, MO · twin score 95.9
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 52nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.0%
7,724 votes · D+27.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 62.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.1%
11,008 votes · R+45.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
8,149votes
62.5% of the vote · D+25.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 7,971 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,008votes
72.1% of the vote · R+45.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,962 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+22.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +15.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+48.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +46.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 45 points, this rural Missouri district sits among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep partisan sorting that has reshaped small-town and agricultural communities over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.7 points.
A population of 36,697, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,793 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 6 and State House District 150.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 52nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29052/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.