- Lead
- 3,632
- Total
- 16,505
- vs nation
- D+23.5
Missouri 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,060
- Total
- 17,763
- vs nation
- D+24.0
- Lead
- 2,217
- Total
- 15,426
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Lead
- 1,763
- Total
- 14,420
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Lead
- 3,298
- Total
- 15,616
- vs nation
- D+13.8
- Lead
- 1,247
- Total
- 13,656
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Lead
- 1,059
- Total
- 10,793
- vs nation
- D+9.3
- Lead
- 1,332
- Total
- 9,517
- vs nation
- D+5.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,6972024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,450 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 25.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,4362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.4 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+6.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 45, MO · twin score 88.3
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
81.2%
797 votes · D+62.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 79.8%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
53.0%
4,309 votes · R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 51.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,116votes
62.6% of the vote · D+28.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,866 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,234votes
37.8% of the vote · D+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 6,145 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+74.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +70.8 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
−5.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+14.0 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −8.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 61.7%7,319 | 38.3%4,549 | 11,868 |
| 2018 | D | 54.8%7,773 | 45.2%6,400 | 14,173 |
Anchored in the St. Louis area, this district recorded a 22.0-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most reliably left-leaning legislative constituencies. Its urban core and dense residential precincts drive consistent one-party results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.4 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 6.1 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.0 points.
A population of 36,697, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,436 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 79.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.