- Lead
- 4,058
- Total
- 8,796
- vs nation
- D+47.6
Missouri 19th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,879
- Total
- 9,345
- vs nation
- D+47.8
- Lead
- 4,365
- Total
- 8,483
- vs nation
- D+49.4
- Lead
- 4,886
- Total
- 8,822
- vs nation
- D+51.5
- Lead
- 5,858
- Total
- 9,608
- vs nation
- D+53.7
- Lead
- 4,733
- Total
- 8,703
- vs nation
- D+56.8
- Lead
- 4,222
- Total
- 7,870
- vs nation
- D+53.1
- Lead
- 3,787
- Total
- 7,276
- vs nation
- D+43.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+46.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,9042024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,809 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,0722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 30.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 44.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.7 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 131, TX · twin score 92.4
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 19th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
91.1%
144 votes · D+86.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 88.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
36.6%
1,952 votes · D+26.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 36.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
7,829votes
86.4% of the vote · D+73.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,701 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,310votes
26.3% of the vote · D+46.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,174 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+66.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+68.1 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +65.1 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−37.7pts R vs U.S.
Place D+57.2 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · −39.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Missouri 19th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.7 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.1 points.
A population of 36,904, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,072 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 131 and State House District 4.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 19th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.