- Lead
- 6,996
- Total
- 15,927
- vs nation
- D+45.4
Minnesota State House District 38B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,172
- Total
- 17,928
- vs nation
- D+41.1
- Lead
- 6,468
- Total
- 16,232
- vs nation
- D+37.8
- Lead
- 5,296
- Total
- 16,350
- vs nation
- D+28.5
- Lead
- 5,427
- Total
- 16,006
- vs nation
- D+26.6
- Lead
- 3,939
- Total
- 15,405
- vs nation
- D+28.0
- Lead
- 2,651
- Total
- 13,550
- vs nation
- D+19.0
- Lead
- 3,260
- Total
- 12,359
- vs nation
- D+17.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+43.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8832024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,246 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,4682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 29.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.2 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 38A, MN · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 38B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
71.6%
12,830 votes · D+45.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 70.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
78.7%
715 votes · R+67.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,830votes
71.6% of the vote · D+45.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,256 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
5,653votes
36.7% of the vote · D+25.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 5,631 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+45.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +41.1 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+47.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.2 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +27.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
District 38B recorded a 43.9-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most lopsided legislative districts. Its urban core and dense residential precincts consistently produce among the highest Democratic vote shares in the legislature.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 67.2 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.9 points.
A population of 42,883, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,468 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 38A and State House District 59A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 38B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2738B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.