- Lead
- 5,685
- Total
- 16,582
- vs nation
- D+35.8
Minnesota State House District 38A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,063
- Total
- 18,763
- vs nation
- D+33.2
- Lead
- 5,642
- Total
- 17,083
- vs nation
- D+30.9
- Lead
- 4,255
- Total
- 17,308
- vs nation
- D+20.7
- Lead
- 4,419
- Total
- 16,900
- vs nation
- D+18.9
- Lead
- 2,823
- Total
- 16,504
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Lead
- 1,682
- Total
- 14,584
- vs nation
- D+11.0
- Lead
- 2,501
- Total
- 13,124
- vs nation
- D+10.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+34.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8602024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,932 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,4342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 34.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 33.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 38B, MN · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 38A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
67.6%
12,689 votes · D+37.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 66.0%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
77.5%
846 votes · R+65.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,689votes
67.6% of the vote · D+37.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 10,941 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
6,773votes
41.0% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 6,738 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+35.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +33.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+45.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.5 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +33.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
District 38A recorded a 34.3-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most lopsided legislative districts. Dense urban settlement drives the electorate's strong partisan lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 65.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.3 points.
A population of 42,860, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,434 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 38B and State House District 67B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 38A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2738A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.