- Lead
- 25,569
- Total
- 50,162
- vs nation
- D+52.4
Michigan 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 25,757
- Total
- 49,610
- vs nation
- D+47.5
- Lead
- 22,737
- Total
- 45,622
- vs nation
- D+47.7
- Lead
- 28,314
- Total
- 48,262
- vs nation
- D+54.8
- Lead
- 32,111
- Total
- 52,908
- vs nation
- D+53.4
- Lead
- 26,593
- Total
- 50,444
- vs nation
- D+55.2
- Lead
- 23,717
- Total
- 45,243
- vs nation
- D+51.9
- Lead
- 24,145
- Total
- 43,176
- vs nation
- D+47.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+51.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 91,7672024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,776 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 24.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,0222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 56.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, MI · twin score 97.4
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
81.5%
53,142 votes · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 79.7%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
74.6%
12,241 votes · R+65.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
53,142votes
81.5% of the vote · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 49,400 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
21,959votes
34.0% of the vote · D+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 20,830 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+55.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +54.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+42.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +40.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 68.3%27,793 | 31.7%12,909 | 40,702 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+51.0, this district ranks among the most heavily Democratic in Michigan, likely anchored by dense urban or university-area precincts that consistently produce lopsided margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 65.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.0 points.
A population of 91,767, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,022 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and Assembly District 17.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.