- Lead
- 16,126
- Total
- 46,811
- vs nation
- D+35.9
Michigan 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,590
- Total
- 47,255
- vs nation
- D+32.8
- Lead
- 14,344
- Total
- 42,604
- vs nation
- D+31.6
- Lead
- 20,830
- Total
- 44,321
- vs nation
- D+43.1
- Lead
- 23,835
- Total
- 46,943
- vs nation
- D+43.5
- Lead
- 19,008
- Total
- 43,677
- vs nation
- D+46.0
- Lead
- 17,403
- Total
- 38,008
- vs nation
- D+45.3
- Lead
- 17,387
- Total
- 35,306
- vs nation
- D+40.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+34.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 89,2872024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,724 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,1702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 48.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, MI · twin score 98.3
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
88.7%
28,717 votes · D+77.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 83.6%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
59.0%
1,835 votes · R+31.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 49.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
35,058votes
74.7% of the vote · D+50.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 32,280 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,946votes
31.9% of the vote · D+34.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,525 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+70.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.8 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · +67.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+39.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +6.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.6%22,566 | 50.4%22,970 | 45,536 |
| 2020 | D | 52.0%20,250 | 48.0%18,706 | 38,956 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+34.4, this district ranks among the most lopsided in the state, suggesting a dense urban or majority-minority core where statewide and local results tend to move in close alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.4 points.
A population of 89,287, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,170 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 16.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.