- Lead
- 19,215
- Total
- 52,872
- vs nation
- D+37.8
Michigan 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,451
- Total
- 54,164
- vs nation
- D+33.3
- Lead
- 16,237
- Total
- 49,602
- vs nation
- D+30.6
- Lead
- 21,971
- Total
- 51,843
- vs nation
- D+38.5
- Lead
- 25,483
- Total
- 56,471
- vs nation
- D+37.9
- Lead
- 19,284
- Total
- 54,862
- vs nation
- D+37.6
- Lead
- 17,476
- Total
- 48,978
- vs nation
- D+35.2
- Lead
- 18,819
- Total
- 46,027
- vs nation
- D+32.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+36.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 93,2432024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,390 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 17.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $86,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 45.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 16, MI · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.9%
51,002 votes · D+48.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 71.7%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
81.4%
18,353 votes · R+74.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 76.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51,002votes
73.9% of the vote · D+48.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 47,430 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
32,861votes
44.5% of the vote · D+10.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 31,097 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+38.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +37.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+52.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +49.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 68.3%28,240 | 31.7%13,116 | 41,356 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+36.3, this district ranks among the most heavily Democratic constituencies in the state, suggesting a dense urban core where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 93,243, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,885 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16 and Assembly District 17.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.