- Lead
- 2,052
- Total
- 14,642
- vs nation
- D+15.5
Massachusetts 22nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,206
- Total
- 14,990
- vs nation
- D+23.6
- Lead
- 4,910
- Total
- 14,447
- vs nation
- D+31.9
- Lead
- 6,277
- Total
- 13,898
- vs nation
- D+41.3
- Lead
- 6,725
- Total
- 14,252
- vs nation
- D+39.9
- Lead
- 7,130
- Total
- 13,816
- vs nation
- D+54.1
- Lead
- 7,118
- Total
- 12,800
- vs nation
- D+55.1
- Lead
- 7,137
- Total
- 11,988
- vs nation
- D+51.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,7902024 5-year
- Population density
- 7,739 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,3232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 11th Bristol District, MA · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 22nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
87.0%
10,368 votes · D+74.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 78.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
66.4%
851 votes · R+33.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 63.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
10,432votes
75.5% of the vote · D+51.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 10,368 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,238votes
42.6% of the vote · D+14.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,252 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+59.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +56.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+27.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +2.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 81.0%12,434 | 19.0%2,925 | 15,359 |
Anchored in southeastern Massachusetts, the 13th Bristol district logged a D+14.0 margin in 2024, reflecting the broader leftward shift in suburban and post-industrial communities that have reshaped Bristol County over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 41,790, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,323 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 11th Bristol District and 7th Bristol District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 22nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25022/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.