- Lead
- 542
- Total
- 11,700
- vs nation
- R+3.2
Massachusetts 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,154
- Total
- 12,039
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 2,903
- Total
- 11,923
- vs nation
- D+22.3
- Lead
- 4,077
- Total
- 11,478
- vs nation
- D+31.7
- Lead
- 4,424
- Total
- 11,623
- vs nation
- D+30.8
- Lead
- 4,782
- Total
- 11,240
- vs nation
- D+45.0
- Lead
- 4,942
- Total
- 10,327
- vs nation
- D+47.3
- Lead
- 5,079
- Total
- 9,567
- vs nation
- D+44.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,9902024 5-year
- Population density
- 9,998 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,6352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 13th Bristol District, MA · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
83.7%
7,932 votes · D+67.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 73.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
71.1%
826 votes · R+43.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
7,981votes
71.0% of the vote · D+42.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 7,932 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,973votes
51.1% of the vote · R+4.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,319 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+49.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.8 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +48.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+37.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +13.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Covering a slice of southeastern Massachusetts, the 7th Bristol district backed the Republican presidential candidate by 4.6 points in 2024, a notable margin in a state where such results remain uncommon at the local level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.6 points.
A population of 41,990, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,635 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 13th Bristol District and 6th Bristol District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.