State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
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U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
21.0%4,028
79.0%15,135
19,163
2020
R
24.6%4,862
75.4%14,931
19,793
2018
R
35.2%5,487
64.8%10,081
15,568
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+58.0 in 2024, compared with R+12.9 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 65% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.2 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 58.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.0 points.
A population of 43,299, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,888 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 6 and State House District 12.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Kentucky 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 15th State House District voted Republican by 58.0 points (R+58.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,635 votes cast, 4,013 went Democratic and 15,396 went Republican.
When did Kentucky 15th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kentucky 15th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Kentucky 15th State House District?
Kentucky 15th State House District has a population of 43,299 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 15th State House District?
Median household income in Kentucky 15th State House District is $52,888 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kentucky 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.