Kentucky 15th State House District, Kentucky: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+58%. Republican peak: R+58 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,9592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,1282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17 in 1992MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 15, KYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,011 | 15,387 | 19,624 | ||
| R | 4,621 | 15,448 | 20,348 | ||
| R | 4,216 | 13,813 | 18,625 | ||
| R | 6,060 | 11,472 | 17,789 | ||
| R | 7,771 | 10,138 | 18,186 | ||
| R | 8,067 | 10,852 | 19,046 | ||
| R | 7,589 | 9,167 | 16,956 | ||
| D | 7,819 | 6,097 | 15,526 | ||
| D | 9,363 | 6,277 | 17,910 | ||
| R | 8,152 | 8,642 | 16,851 | ||
| R | 7,207 | 9,210 | 16,458 | ||
| R | 7,885 | 8,018 | 16,147 | ||
| D | 8,641 | 6,651 | 15,421 | ||
| R | 4,079 | 8,532 | 12,789 | ||
| R | 4,376 | 6,487 | 13,709 | ||
| D | 7,971 | 5,726 | 13,725 | ||
| R | 5,416 | 9,619 | 15,035 | ||
| R | 5,950 | 8,621 | 14,618 | ||
| R | 6,190 | 7,753 | 13,969 | ||
| R | 5,528 | 5,969 | 11,682 | ||
| R | 4,807 | 7,968 | 12,811 | ||
| R | 6,591 | 8,490 | 15,115 | ||
| D | 7,617 | 6,758 | 14,455 | ||
| D | 8,893 | 6,931 | 15,952 | ||
| R | 5,810 | 10,587 | 16,454 | ||
| R | 5,553 | 7,850 | 14,341 | ||
| R | 6,176 | 10,758 | 17,209 | ||
| R | 4,056 | 5,986 | 10,242 | ||
| O | 2,970 | 2,107 | 8,581 | ||
| R | 3,750 | 5,388 | 9,364 | ||
| R | 2,903 | 4,772 | 7,879 | ||
| R | 2,986 | 4,824 | 7,917 | ||
| R | 2,838 | 4,122 | 7,113 | ||
| R | 2,135 | 3,013 | 5,801 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.6%
American
13.3%
Irish
7.9%
German
5.4%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.2%
French
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$53,128
State House District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15$53,128
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.0%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1825.9%
Working age (18–64)16.7%
Seniors (65+)20.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Spanish1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 25.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Kentucky 15th State House District sits in the Border South. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic district — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.
The Democratic margin in Kentucky 15th State House District peaked at seventeen points in 1992. By 2000 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $53,128 sits well below state and national norms, and 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/21015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 15, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, Kentucky voted Republican by 58.0 points (R+58), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,624 votes cast, 4,011 went Democratic and 15,387 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, Kentucky as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 27 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 15, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State House District 15, Kentucky?
State House District 15, Kentucky has a population of 42,959 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, Kentucky?
Median household income in State House District 15, Kentucky is $53,128 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of State House District 15, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.