- Lead
- 264
- Total
- 9,930
- vs nation
- D+4.1
Hawaii 39th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 943
- Total
- 9,692
- vs nation
- D+5.3
- Lead
- 1,481
- Total
- 6,330
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Lead
- 2,150
- Total
- 6,559
- vs nation
- D+28.9
- Lead
- 2,361
- Total
- 6,758
- vs nation
- D+27.7
- Lead
- 333
- Total
- 6,795
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 451
- Total
- 5,738
- vs nation
- D+7.3
- Lead
- 920
- Total
- 5,659
- vs nation
- D+7.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,3392024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,061 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 26.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $124,2292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 35, HI · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 39th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.7%
2,567 votes · D+51.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 66.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.8%
3,264 votes · R+33.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 59.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
5,250votes
54.2% of the vote · D+9.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 5,033 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,769votes
48.0% of the vote · D+2.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,307 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+28.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +28.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+10.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.6 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +8.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Despite Hawaiʻi's strong Democratic lean statewide, this district recorded a 2.7-point presidential margin in 2024 — making it an outlier that draws close attention from strategists on both sides.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.7 points.
A population of 28,339, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,229 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 35 and State House District 40.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 39th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.