- Lead
- 2,246
- Total
- 12,633
- vs nation
- D+19.3
Hawaii 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,610
- Total
- 14,042
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Lead
- 2,326
- Total
- 10,432
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Lead
- 3,392
- Total
- 10,782
- vs nation
- D+27.6
- Lead
- 3,751
- Total
- 11,124
- vs nation
- D+26.4
- Lead
- 685
- Total
- 11,236
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Lead
- 635
- Total
- 9,459
- vs nation
- D+6.2
- Lead
- 1,431
- Total
- 9,347
- vs nation
- D+6.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,8742024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,274 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $133,5042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 49, HI · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.3%
4,187 votes · D+50.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 66.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.4%
5,463 votes · R+34.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 60.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
8,699votes
61.9% of the vote · D+25.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,366 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
5,925votes
52.7% of the vote · R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 5,762 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+28.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+50.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +27.6 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+11.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.7 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +9.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Democratic presidential margin was D+17.8 in 2024 and D+33.7 in 2008. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with Asian residents at 42.2%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 34.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.8 points.
A population of 28,874, a 12% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $133,504 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 49 and State House District 48.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.