HarrisDemocratic58.4%5,837TrumpRepublican39.8%3,983OtherAll other candidates1.8%180
D+18.5- Lead
- 1,854
- Total
- 10,000
- vs nation
- D+20.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Hawaii 16th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic62.6%6,940TrumpRepublican35.5%3,932OtherAll other candidates2.0%219
D+27.1- Lead
- 3,008
- Total
- 11,091
- vs nation
- D+22.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic62.2%5,351TrumpRepublican30.3%2,604OtherAll other candidates7.5%649
D+31.9- Lead
- 2,747
- Total
- 8,604
- vs nation
- D+29.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic72.7%6,061RomneyRepublican25.2%2,100OtherAll other candidates2.1%175
D+47.5- Lead
- 3,961
- Total
- 8,336
- vs nation
- D+43.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic74.2%6,639McCainRepublican24.0%2,145OtherAll other candidates1.8%159
D+50.3- Lead
- 4,494
- Total
- 8,943
- vs nation
- D+43.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic58.7%4,851BushRepublican40.5%3,347OtherAll other candidates0.8%67
D+18.2- Lead
- 1,504
- Total
- 8,265
- vs nation
- D+20.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic61.4%4,377BushRepublican31.8%2,265OtherAll other candidates6.8%481
D+29.7- Lead
- 2,112
- Total
- 7,123
- vs nation
- D+29.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic63.5%4,339DoleRepublican26.8%1,834OtherAll other candidates9.7%661
D+36.7- Lead
- 2,505
- Total
- 6,834
- vs nation
- D+28.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,4092024 5-year
- Population density
- 246 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 99.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $100,8192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+19.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, HI · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
80.5%
2,836 votes · D+61.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 74.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
59.7%
2,601 votes · R+19.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · 56.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,940votes
62.6% of the vote · D+27.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,639 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,983votes
39.8% of the vote · D+18.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,932 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+43.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +43.0 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+12.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.5 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · −3.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DLuke EvslinState House · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering part of Honolulu's urban core, this district's D+18.5 presidential margin in 2024 reflects the heavily Democratic lean typical of densely populated Hawaii constituencies, where multiethnic working-class and professional households shape the electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 19.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.5 points.
A population of 24,409, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,819 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 10.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 17
Hawaii
98.8twin score
% Asian12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory
State House District 10
Hawaii
97.5twin score
% Asian12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory
State House District 34
Hawaii
96.2twin score
% Asian2008–2012 trajectory12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hawaii 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Hawaii at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Hawaii 16th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Hawaii 16th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hawaii 16th State House District voted Democratic by 18.5 points (D+18.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,000 votes cast, 5,837 went Democratic and 3,983 went Republican.
When did Hawaii 16th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hawaii 16th State House District voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Hawaii 16th State House District?
Hawaii 16th State House District has a population of 24,409 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hawaii 16th State House District?
Median household income in Hawaii 16th State House District is $100,819 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hawaii 16th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hawaii 16th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.