- Lead
- 3,039
- Total
- 11,488
- vs nation
- D+27.9
Hawaii 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,145
- Total
- 12,077
- vs nation
- D+29.9
- Lead
- 3,592
- Total
- 8,467
- vs nation
- D+40.3
- Lead
- 4,322
- Total
- 8,025
- vs nation
- D+50.0
- Lead
- 5,022
- Total
- 8,542
- vs nation
- D+51.5
- Lead
- 2,060
- Total
- 7,733
- vs nation
- D+29.1
- Lead
- 1,981
- Total
- 6,405
- vs nation
- D+30.4
- Lead
- 2,054
- Total
- 5,643
- vs nation
- D+27.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,9972024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,195 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $107,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 18.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+17.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, HI · twin score 99.3
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
79.4%
2,147 votes · D+58.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 78.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
58.8%
1,792 votes · R+17.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · 52.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,996votes
66.2% of the vote · D+34.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,163 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,124votes
35.9% of the vote · D+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,851 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+51.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.8 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +50.0 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+5.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.0 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · −5.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in urban Honolulu, this district delivers some of Hawaii's most lopsided statewide results, reflecting a dense, heavily Democratic electorate shaped by public-sector employment and Native Hawaiian and Asian-American communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 17.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.5 points.
A population of 26,997, a 18% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,885 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 9.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.