Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Hawaii 15th State House District
presidential margin
2008D+53.12012D+50.72016D+33.32020D+30.32024D+19.3
full record · 20082024
D+19.3
2024
median income$90,067U.S. $80,734 · HI $100,389
median age45.3U.S. 39.1 · HI 41
poverty rate10.0%U.S. 12.5% · HI 10.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.1%U.S. 35.6% · HI 36.2%
non-english18.3%U.S. 22.3% · HI 24.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German9.7%
Irish9.0%
English8.5%
Filipino11.9%
Japanese5.6%
Chinese0.3%
Native Hawaiian10.1%
Marshallese0.9%
Samoan0.3%
Puerto Rican3.2%
Mexican2.9%
Spanish2.4%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Kauai County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Hawaii 15th State House District

Akashic
Hawaii 15th State House DistrictHarrisD+19.3
2024
2024 presidential margin for Hawaii 15th State House DistrictThe boundary of Hawaii 15th State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+19.3), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Hawaii 15th State House District · D+19.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic58.5%5,926
Donald TrumpRepublican39.2%3,975
Jill SteinG2.2%227
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Hawaii 15th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Kauai County, HIDemocraticD+19.5
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
58.5%Harris5,926
39.2%Trump3,975
2.2%Stein227
+19.3%
10,128
D
64.0%Biden7,206
33.7%Trump3,794
2.2%Jorgensen251
+30.3%
11,251
D
61.6%Clinton5,527
28.2%Trump2,533
10.2%Johnson919
+33.3%
8,979
D
75.3%Obama6,189
24.7%Romney2,027
0.0%
+50.7%
8,216
D
75.3%Obama6,923
22.1%McCain2,036
2.6%Nader237
+53.1%
9,196
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +19.3% in 2024.+19.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+53.1%
2012+50.7%
2016+33.3%
2020+30.3%
2024+19.3%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DNadine NakamuraState House · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Anchored in urban Honolulu, this compact district posts some of the most consistent Democratic margins in Hawaii's lower chamber, reflecting the dense, multiethnic electorate that defines the city's core precincts.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.1 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.3 points.

A population of 24,275, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,067 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16 and State House District 14.

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hawaii 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Hawaii at the ballot boxAll elections →

Places within Hawaii 15th State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Hawaii 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hawaii 15th State House District voted Democratic by 19.3 points (D+19.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,128 votes cast, 5,926 went Democratic and 3,975 went Republican.
How many people live in Hawaii 15th State House District?
Hawaii 15th State House District has a population of 24,275 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hawaii 15th State House District?
Median household income in Hawaii 15th State House District is $90,067 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hawaii 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Hawaii 15th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.