- Lead
- 2,348
- Total
- 9,429
- vs nation
- D+26.4
Hawaii 3rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,096
- Total
- 10,166
- vs nation
- D+35.8
- Lead
- 3,166
- Total
- 7,246
- vs nation
- D+41.6
- Lead
- 4,177
- Total
- 7,115
- vs nation
- D+54.9
- Lead
- 4,581
- Total
- 7,548
- vs nation
- D+53.4
- Lead
- 1,981
- Total
- 6,244
- vs nation
- D+34.2
- Lead
- 1,725
- Total
- 5,656
- vs nation
- D+30.0
- Lead
- 1,900
- Total
- 5,546
- vs nation
- D+25.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+24.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,0052024 5-year
- Population density
- 273 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 91.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,2772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5, HI · twin score 98.1
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 3rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
83.0%
2,313 votes · D+66.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 78.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
54.2%
1,608 votes · R+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 47.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,995votes
68.8% of the vote · D+40.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 5,950 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,423votes
36.3% of the vote · D+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,899 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+54.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.7 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +53.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
−7.9pts R vs U.S.
Place D+8.0 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · −10.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in the windward communities northeast of Honolulu, this district delivers consistent double-digit Democratic margins in presidential races, reflecting the dense concentration of Native Hawaiian and Asian-American residents who have defined its political character for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 8.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 15.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.9 points.
A population of 25,005, a 24% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,277 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 15.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.