- Lead
- 29,730
- Total
- 107,093
- vs nation
- R+26.3
Florida 86th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 22,698
- Total
- 109,016
- vs nation
- R+25.3
- Lead
- 21,650
- Total
- 94,910
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Lead
- 17,160
- Total
- 87,040
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Lead
- 9,857
- Total
- 85,546
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Lead
- 10,529
- Total
- 78,979
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Lead
- 5,842
- Total
- 65,871
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Lead
- 6,277
- Total
- 59,068
- vs nation
- R+19.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 179,2692024 5-year
- Population density
- 347 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 517 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,4742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 34, FL · twin score 95.4
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
44.3%
29,150 votes · R+8.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 43.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
63.5%
68,035 votes · R+27.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 60.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
42,781votes
39.2% of the vote · R+20.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 38,305 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68,035votes
63.5% of the vote · R+27.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 65,479 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−9.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.9 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −10.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+26.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +25.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Its Republican presidential margin was R+27.8 in 2024 and R+11.5 in 2008. About 165,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 75.8% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.8 points.
A population of 179,269, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,474 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 34 and State House District 74.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare State House District 86 with…
Open campaign intelligence report → · All twelve comparisons →
Florida 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.