FL
Miami-Dade County
LatestR+11.4in 2024
Population2,738,3562024 ACS
Most similarImperial CountyCA · twin score 94.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,738,3562024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,441 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,900 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,7532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 69.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.6 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Imperial County, CA · twin score 94.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.6%1,098,432 participants ÷ 1,650,109 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +5.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.2%–45.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,008,374 | 1,551,525 | 65.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 813,221 | 1,596,180 | 50.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,166,119 | 1,614,920 | 72.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 716,314 | 1,635,637 | 43.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,098,432 | 1,650,109 | 66.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | +19.4% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +95.6% |
| 1896 | +0.5% |
| 1900 | +30.5% |
| 1904 | +45.5% |
| 1908 | +43.3% |
| 1912 | +60.2% |
| 1916 | +35.8% |
| 1920 | +15.0% |
| 1924 | +6.8% |
| 1928 | −21.7% |
| 1932 | +31.7% |
| 1936 | +46.2% |
| 1940 | +34.6% |
| 1944 | +32.9% |
| 1948 | +16.5% |
| 1952 | −13.5% |
| 1956 | −10.7% |
| 1960 | +15.3% |
| 1964 | +28.0% |
| 1968 | +11.4% |
| 1972 | −18.1% |
| 1976 | +17.6% |
| 1980 | −10.5% |
| 1984 | −18.3% |
| 1988 | −11.0% |
| 1992 | +3.5% |
| 1996 | +19.5% |
| 2000 | +6.3% |
| 2004 | +6.3% |
| 2008 | +16.1% |
| 2012 | +23.7% |
| 2016 | +29.6% |
| 2020 | +7.4% |
| 2024 | −11.4% |