- Lead
- 19,953
- Total
- 96,423
- vs nation
- R+19.2
Florida 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 15,208
- Total
- 99,463
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Lead
- 18,846
- Total
- 87,669
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Lead
- 20,248
- Total
- 83,808
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Lead
- 19,057
- Total
- 84,318
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Lead
- 28,460
- Total
- 79,329
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Lead
- 19,886
- Total
- 55,439
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Lead
- 13,044
- Total
- 52,182
- vs nation
- R+33.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 180,0472024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,652 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 67.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,5922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, FL · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41.7%
41,452 votes · R+15.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 39.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.6%
53,610 votes · R+35.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 66.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,452votes
41.7% of the vote · R+15.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 37,619 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
57,572votes
59.7% of the vote · R+20.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 56,660 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−19.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −19.7 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+36.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.9 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +33.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+20.6, against R+22.6 in 2008. The district had about 94,800 residents, 51% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 92.8 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 60.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.7 points.
A population of 180,047, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,592 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 12.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.