- Lead
- 8,667
- Total
- 84,583
- vs nation
- R+8.8
Florida 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,785
- Total
- 91,287
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Lead
- 11,261
- Total
- 83,113
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Lead
- 12,734
- Total
- 79,434
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Lead
- 11,540
- Total
- 79,922
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Lead
- 21,016
- Total
- 74,509
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Lead
- 14,777
- Total
- 51,936
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Lead
- 8,608
- Total
- 49,133
- vs nation
- R+26.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 181,0722024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,655 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 68.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,5252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, FL · twin score 94.8
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
46.1%
42,127 votes · R+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 44.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
63.8%
47,505 votes · R+28.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 63.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
42,127votes
46.1% of the vote · R+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 37,536 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
47,912votes
52.5% of the vote · R+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 47,505 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−8.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+10.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −10.8 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+29.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.5 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +25.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+10.2 in 2024, compared with R+14.4 in 2008. The district had about 123,000 residents, 51% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.8 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 54.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.2 points.
A population of 181,072, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,525 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 16.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.