akashic
1876–2024
State House District 12·Florida

Florida 12th State House District delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
123,100
2024 ACS

Florida 12th State House District, Florida: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+95 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
123,1002024 5-year
Median household income
$71,2772024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.0%2024 5-year
Black
28.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
12.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+95 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.5%
27,58228,42456,683
D
+3.8%
30,38628,12559,293
R
−1.4%
24,74925,46752,059
R
−3.6%
23,67025,46049,551
R
−1.9%
24,37825,33150,022
R
−16.2%
19,08326,49245,847
R
−16.7%
12,99918,34331,905
R
−5.8%
13,51515,27530,575
R
−12.6%
11,08114,87530,070
R
−26.1%
9,01115,41024,542
R
−24.8%
9,32315,48724,815
R
−4.2%
10,88411,87123,528
D
+16.9%
12,7439,02321,965
R
−44.7%
5,59814,69720,358
O
+1.9%
6,5976,20620,090
R
−1.1%
9,5499,75919,308
D
+8.5%
8,4337,10715,540
R
−0.3%
6,3926,43512,826
D
+3.5%
6,4916,05712,548
D
+22.1%
3,4371,8507,182
D
+50.2%
4,4361,4705,906
D
+63.4%
4,9331,1046,037
D
+65.8%
3,1276463,773
D
+51.5%
2,2917333,024
R
−28.5%
1,1212,0363,211
D
+23.0%
7113961,369
D
+33.0%
1,6427972,558
D
+51.7%
656161957
D
+70.1%
42329562
D
+48.7%
28677429
D
+43.6%
24281369
D
+38.8%
22393335
D
+11.9%
229176444
D
+95.1%
1730182
—
No data
———
R
−28.5%
227408635
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
8.4%
English
8.4%
German
8.1%
American
7.0%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
1.8%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
1.8%
75–84
2.5%
4.2%
65–74
5.1%
5.9%
55–64
6.5%
5.6%
45–54
6.0%
6.7%
35–44
6.9%
7.9%
25–34
8.1%
4.4%
18–24
4.3%
8.2%
5–17
7.9%
3.2%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,277
State House District 12 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 12$71,277
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.2%
Working age (18–64)12.7%
Seniors (65+)13.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.7%
speak English only
Spanish8.1%
Other Indo-European3.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
25.2%
Baptist
17.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.9%
Methodist
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida 12th State House District in the Gulf South and peninsula delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Republican candidate carrying the district by one point — well within the historical noise of how the district votes.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-five points in 1892; the Republican margin reached forty-five points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 123,100, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,277 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 12, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 12, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 12, Florida voted Republican by 1.5 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 56,683 votes cast, 27,582 went Democratic and 28,424 went Republican.
What is State House District 12, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 12, Florida as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 12, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 12, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State House District 12, Florida?
State House District 12, Florida has a population of 123,100 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 12, Florida?
Median household income in State House District 12, Florida is $71,277 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State House District 12, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 12, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.