- Lead
- 7,492
- Total
- 12,012
- vs nation
- R+60.9
Arkansas 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,275
- Total
- 12,002
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Lead
- 6,031
- Total
- 10,980
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Lead
- 4,725
- Total
- 10,601
- vs nation
- R+48.4
- Lead
- 4,577
- Total
- 11,112
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Lead
- 2,627
- Total
- 12,076
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Lead
- 1,803
- Total
- 11,079
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 1,048
- Total
- 10,937
- vs nation
- D+1.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,9272024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 964 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,9582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 50, OK · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
79.8%
3,250 votes · D+60.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 78.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.1%
9,626 votes · R+62.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
6,918votes
62.8% of the vote · D+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 5,393 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,626votes
80.1% of the vote · R+62.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,473 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+47.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +43.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+65.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +60.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 16.7%1,891 | 83.3%9,403 | 11,294 |
| 2020 | R | 17.7%1,921 | 82.3%8,958 | 10,879 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 62 points, this district's electorate tilts heavily conservative, leaving Democrats with little structural foothold in statewide or legislative contests here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.4 points.
A population of 29,927, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,958 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 50 and State House District 29.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.