- Lead
- 781
- Total
- 11,551
- vs nation
- R+5.3
Arkansas 19th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 783
- Total
- 11,125
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Lead
- 1,230
- Total
- 9,245
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Lead
- 1,617
- Total
- 8,359
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Lead
- 1,316
- Total
- 8,093
- vs nation
- R+23.5
- Lead
- 1,223
- Total
- 7,642
- vs nation
- R+13.5
- Lead
- 1,008
- Total
- 6,069
- vs nation
- R+17.1
- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 5,175
- vs nation
- R+9.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,2762024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,408 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,0592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 75, OK · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 19th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
74.1%
588 votes · D+50.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 71.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.1%
2,149 votes · R+44.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 69.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,202votes
45.0% of the vote · R+6.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,004 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,983votes
51.8% of the vote · R+6.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,787 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+50.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +42.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+32.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.5 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +24.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.5%4,414 | 57.5%5,975 | 10,389 |
| 2020 | R | 44.4%4,548 | 55.6%5,702 | 10,250 |
Arkansas 19th State House District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 44.5 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 6.8 points.
A population of 29,276, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,059 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 75 and State House District 15.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 19th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.