Arkansas 15th State House District, Arkansas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,5382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $93,5062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 676 | 1,194 | 1,922 | ||
| R | 631 | 1,106 | 1,792 | ||
| R | 419 | 910 | 1,386 | ||
| R | 338 | 817 | 1,185 | ||
| R | 349 | 764 | 1,137 | ||
| R | 310 | 696 | 1,018 | ||
| R | 258 | 521 | 802 | ||
| R | 257 | 355 | 684 | ||
| R | 236 | 316 | 647 | ||
| R | 140 | 363 | 510 | ||
| R | 109 | 363 | 478 | ||
| R | 138 | 281 | 440 | ||
| R | 169 | 189 | 359 | ||
| R | 61 | 219 | 281 | ||
| R | 61 | 121 | 243 | ||
| R | 85 | 89 | 174 | ||
| R | 54 | 117 | 173 | ||
| R | 56 | 97 | 154 | ||
| R | 53 | 118 | 172 | ||
| D | 49 | 44 | 97 | ||
| R | 43 | 49 | 92 | ||
| D | 37 | 29 | 67 | ||
| D | 36 | 25 | 61 | ||
| D | 56 | 19 | 78 | ||
| R | 35 | 49 | 85 | ||
| D | 35 | 25 | 68 | ||
| D | 42 | 29 | 73 | ||
| D | 46 | 19 | 66 | ||
| D | 35 | 8 | 58 | ||
| D | 46 | 23 | 72 | ||
| D | 29 | 18 | 51 | ||
| D | 45 | 16 | 62 | ||
| D | 53 | 10 | 64 | ||
| D | 39 | 18 | 62 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Arkansas 15th State House District sits in the Mid-South. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the district voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the lingering memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Arkansas 15th State House District as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.
The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Arkansas 15th State House District, by a thirty-eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points.
The political shift has tracked, in Arkansas 15th State House District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $93,506, and a 8% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State House District 15, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.