- Lead
- 3,350
- Total
- 15,163
- vs nation
- D+23.6
Arkansas 20th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,158
- Total
- 15,357
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 1,751
- Total
- 12,589
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Lead
- 885
- Total
- 11,115
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 1,279
- Total
- 10,863
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Lead
- 1,262
- Total
- 10,245
- vs nation
- D+14.8
- Lead
- 919
- Total
- 8,174
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Lead
- 1,803
- Total
- 7,270
- vs nation
- D+16.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,7072024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,031 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 28.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $94,1592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+19.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 73, AR · twin score 96.4
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 20th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
82.8%
1,043 votes · D+67.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 79.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
59.5%
2,184 votes · R+19.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 55.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,027votes
58.8% of the vote · D+20.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 8,994 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
5,869votes
38.2% of the vote · D+20.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 5,644 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+66.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +64.9 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+5.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.7 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · +1.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.5%4,479 | 57.5%6,063 | 10,542 |
| 2020 | R | 44.4%4,615 | 55.6%5,786 | 10,401 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+22.1 in a state that trends heavily Republican statewide, this district stands as a distinct blue enclave — likely anchored by an urban core or a concentration of majority-minority precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 19.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.1 points.
A population of 29,707, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,159 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 73 and State House District 75.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 20th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.