- Lead
- 24,495
- Total
- 134,098
- vs nation
- R+16.8
Arizona 14th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 19,331
- Total
- 129,125
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Lead
- 20,290
- Total
- 95,082
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Lead
- 25,282
- Total
- 83,914
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Lead
- 24,991
- Total
- 83,218
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Lead
- 24,711
- Total
- 73,021
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Lead
- 16,060
- Total
- 55,060
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Lead
- 10,452
- Total
- 49,164
- vs nation
- R+29.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 241,6922024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,607 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 67 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $126,8902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 15, TX · twin score 91.6
presidential history
Party record book
Arizona 14th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
53.2%
1,348 votes · D+12.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 51.4%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
79.1%
29,367 votes · R+59.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 76.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
53,968votes
40.2% of the vote · R+18.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 53,819 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78,463votes
58.5% of the vote · R+18.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 73,150 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
−1.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.6 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −5.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+51.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.5 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +46.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+18.3, this district sits well to the right of Arizona's statewide median, suggesting a stable Republican base that has shown little competitive volatility in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 59.3 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.3 points.
A population of 241,692, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $126,890 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 15 and Assembly District 75.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arizona 14th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04014/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.