Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Upper West Side-Manhattan ValleyThe boundary of Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+76.7).Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley · D+76.7
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic87.5%20,256TrumpRepublican10.8%2,501OtherAll other candidates1.7%390
D+76.7
Lead
17,755
Total
23,147
vs nation
D+78.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic90.9%22,418TrumpRepublican7.9%1,938OtherAll other candidates1.3%318
D+83.0
Lead
20,480
Total
24,674
vs nation
D+78.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic90.9%22,195TrumpRepublican5.7%1,402OtherAll other candidates3.4%826
D+85.1
Lead
20,793
Total
24,423
vs nation
D+83.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic92.2%21,848RomneyRepublican7.8%1,842OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+84.4
Lead
20,006
Total
23,690
vs nation
D+80.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic91.3%24,254McCainRepublican7.8%2,077OtherAll other candidates0.8%221
D+83.5
Lead
22,177
Total
26,552
vs nation
D+76.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic88.9%22,323BushRepublican9.9%2,479OtherAll other candidates1.2%309
D+79.0
Lead
19,844
Total
25,111
vs nation
D+81.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+76.7MIT Election Lab
Population
51,7202020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
109,227 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.5 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
50.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
14.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
25.0%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+85.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, NY · twin score 86.6

presidential history

Party record book

Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

92.2%

21,848 votes · D+84.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 91.3%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

10.8%

2,501 votes · D+76.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 9.9%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

24,254votes

91.3% of the vote · D+83.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 22,418 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,501votes

10.8% of the vote · D+76.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 2,479 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+83.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+85.1 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +81.5 pts

Republican

John McCain2008

−76.3pts R vs U.S.

Place D+83.5 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · −78.2 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley voted Democratic by 76.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 2.3 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley: Democratic by 76.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
51,720 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 76.7 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook
New York
86.6twin score
Similarity 0.87
Rogers Park
Illinois
84.0twin score
Similarity 0.84
East Williamsburg
New York
83.8twin score
Similarity 0.84

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/upper-west-side-manhattan-valley/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York voted Democratic by 76.7 points (D+76.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 23,147 votes cast, 20,256 went Democratic and 2,501 went Republican.
How many people live in Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York?
Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York has a population of 51,720 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York?
Median household income in Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.