Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Upper West Side-Lincoln SquareThe boundary of Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+67.5).Upper West Side-Lincoln Square · D+67.5
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic82.8%27,016TrumpRepublican15.3%4,981OtherAll other candidates1.9%628
D+67.5
Lead
22,035
Total
32,625
vs nation
D+69.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic85.8%25,741TrumpRepublican12.7%3,813OtherAll other candidates1.4%431
D+73.1
Lead
21,928
Total
29,985
vs nation
D+68.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic83.9%24,211TrumpRepublican12.2%3,524OtherAll other candidates3.9%1,116
D+71.7
Lead
20,687
Total
28,851
vs nation
D+69.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic77.3%20,326RomneyRepublican22.7%5,972OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+54.6
Lead
14,354
Total
26,298
vs nation
D+50.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic81.3%24,100McCainRepublican17.9%5,303OtherAll other candidates0.8%231
D+63.4
Lead
18,797
Total
29,634
vs nation
D+56.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic76.9%22,181BushRepublican22.0%6,330OtherAll other candidates1.1%323
D+55.0
Lead
15,851
Total
28,834
vs nation
D+57.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+67.5MIT Election Lab
Population
70,6972020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
124,761 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.6 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
68.6%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
4.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
10.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+73.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Upper East Side-Yorkville, NY · twin score 84.5

presidential history

Party record book

Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

85.8%

25,741 votes · D+73.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 83.9%

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

22.7%

5,972 votes · D+54.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 22.0%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

27,016votes

82.8% of the vote · D+67.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 25,741 votes

Republican

George W. Bush2004

6,330votes

22.0% of the vote · D+55.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 5,972 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+69.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+71.7 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +69.0 pts

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

−50.7pts R vs U.S.

Place D+54.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −56.2 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Upper West Side-Lincoln Square voted Democratic by 67.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 12.6 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Upper West Side-Lincoln Square: Democratic by 67.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
70,697 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 67.5 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Upper East Side-Yorkville
New York
84.5twin score
Similarity 0.84
Murray Hill-Kips Bay
New York
83.6twin score
Similarity 0.84
Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island
New York
79.2twin score
Similarity 0.79

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/upper-west-side-lincoln-square/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York voted Democratic by 67.5 points (D+67.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 32,625 votes cast, 27,016 went Democratic and 4,981 went Republican.
How many people live in Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York?
Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York has a population of 70,697 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York?
Median household income in Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Upper West Side-Lincoln Square, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.