Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt IslandThe boundary of Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+55.8).Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island · D+55.8
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic76.9%27,388TrumpRepublican21.1%7,510OtherAll other candidates2.0%713
D+55.8
Lead
19,878
Total
35,611
vs nation
D+57.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic81.5%29,346TrumpRepublican17.1%6,144OtherAll other candidates1.4%512
D+64.4
Lead
23,202
Total
36,002
vs nation
D+60.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic78.6%26,730TrumpRepublican17.0%5,785OtherAll other candidates4.4%1,481
D+61.6
Lead
20,945
Total
33,996
vs nation
D+59.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic70.7%21,032RomneyRepublican29.3%8,724OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+41.4
Lead
12,308
Total
29,756
vs nation
D+37.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic75.0%26,578McCainRepublican24.2%8,558OtherAll other candidates0.8%286
D+50.9
Lead
18,020
Total
35,422
vs nation
D+43.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic69.7%24,460BushRepublican29.1%10,222OtherAll other candidates1.1%397
D+40.6
Lead
14,238
Total
35,079
vs nation
D+43.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+55.8MIT Election Lab
Population
85,5272020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
110,894 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.8 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
71.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
3.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
7.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+64.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Upper East Side-Yorkville, NY · twin score 88.3

presidential history

Party record book

Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

81.5%

29,346 votes · D+64.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 78.6%

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

29.3%

8,724 votes · D+41.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 29.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

29,346votes

81.5% of the vote · D+64.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 27,388 votes

Republican

George W. Bush2004

10,222votes

29.1% of the vote · D+40.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 8,724 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

+60.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+64.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +59.5 pts

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

−37.5pts R vs U.S.

Place D+41.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −43.0 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island voted Democratic by 55.8 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 15.2 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island: Democratic by 55.8 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
85,527 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 55.8 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Upper East Side-Yorkville
New York
88.3twin score
Similarity 0.88
Near North Side
Illinois
82.5twin score
Similarity 0.83
Lincoln Park
Illinois
82.0twin score
Similarity 0.82

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/upper-east-side-lenox-hill-roosevelt-island/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Frequently asked questions

How did Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York voted Democratic by 55.8 points (D+55.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 35,611 votes cast, 27,388 went Democratic and 7,510 went Republican.
How many people live in Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York?
Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York has a population of 85,527 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York?
Median household income in Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.