Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Upper East Side-Carnegie HillThe boundary of Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+51.0).Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill · D+51.0
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic74.4%23,445TrumpRepublican23.4%7,362OtherAll other candidates2.3%715
D+51.0
Lead
16,083
Total
31,522
vs nation
D+52.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic80.0%25,464TrumpRepublican18.3%5,826OtherAll other candidates1.7%528
D+61.7
Lead
19,638
Total
31,818
vs nation
D+57.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic77.9%24,181TrumpRepublican17.3%5,378OtherAll other candidates4.8%1,476
D+60.6
Lead
18,803
Total
31,035
vs nation
D+58.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic64.0%16,751RomneyRepublican36.0%9,418OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+28.0
Lead
7,333
Total
26,169
vs nation
D+24.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic73.5%24,104McCainRepublican25.8%8,452OtherAll other candidates0.7%234
D+47.7
Lead
15,652
Total
32,790
vs nation
D+40.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic68.1%22,182BushRepublican31.0%10,095OtherAll other candidates0.9%306
D+37.1
Lead
12,087
Total
32,583
vs nation
D+39.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+51.0MIT Election Lab
Population
62,4102020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
86,710 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.7 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
84.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
1.0%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
5.6%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+61.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Lincoln Park, IL · twin score 87.9

presidential history

Party record book

Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

80.0%

25,464 votes · D+61.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 77.9%

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

36.0%

9,418 votes · D+28.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 31.0%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

25,464votes

80.0% of the vote · D+61.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 24,181 votes

Republican

George W. Bush2004

10,095votes

31.0% of the vote · D+37.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 9,418 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+58.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+60.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +57.3 pts

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

−24.2pts R vs U.S.

Place D+28.0 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −39.6 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill voted Democratic by 51.0 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 13.9 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill: Democratic by 51.0 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
62,410 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 51.0 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lincoln Park
Illinois
87.9twin score
Similarity 0.88
East Midtown-Turtle Bay
New York
77.3twin score
Similarity 0.77
Upper East Side-Lenox Hill-Roosevelt Island
New York
76.6twin score
Similarity 0.77

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/upper-east-side-carnegie-hill/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York voted Democratic by 51.0 points (D+51.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 31,522 votes cast, 23,445 went Democratic and 7,362 went Republican.
How many people live in Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York?
Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York has a population of 62,410 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York?
Median household income in Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Upper East Side-Carnegie Hill, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.